Day

February 7, 2026
NovaaOne Capital’s Sunil Sanghai explains why the government’s 4.3% fiscal deficit target reassures markets despite revenue constraints. In this ETMarkets Smart Talk, he highlights the importance of capex-led growth, fiscal discipline, and lesser-noticed structural reforms that could support long-term capital formation.
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Over 120 smallcap stocks posted double-digit gains in a single week, signalling a sharp rebound after months of selling pressure. While valuations have corrected and earnings remain stable in pockets, experts are divided on whether the rally marks a durable recovery or a tactical bounce driven by sentiment shifts.
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Headline capex understates the Union Budget’s infrastructure push. Adjusting for equity infusions, state and private spending, and extra-budgetary resources shows effective Centre infrastructure spending rose 18% year-on-year, led by defence, transport, housing, and water, alongside PLI and targeted tax incentives.
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Indian stocks are navigating challenges despite trade agreements. Corporate earnings growth is lagging, and foreign investors are looking elsewhere. Recent AI advancements also impact tech giants. While trade deals offer some relief, the focus remains on strategic growth areas. Investors are cautiously optimistic about the Indian market’s future.
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Global stock markets saw a strong rebound on Friday. Major indices like the Dow Jones and S&P 500 registered significant gains. Technology shares, especially chipmakers, recovered from sharp declines. Bitcoin and silver also bounced back from recent selloffs. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Iran talks and assessing economic data.
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Europe’s benchmark share index rebounded on Friday, with the STOXX 600 up 0.9% as investors digested mixed corporate earnings. Stellantis plunged on EV development charges, while defence stocks surged on strong results and orders. The index closed the week with a 1% gain, navigating AI-driven market shifts and ECB decisions.
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The dollar retreated from two-week highs as risk assets rebounded, though it remained on track for a weekly gain. Concerns over AI spending drove global shares lower, while the yen weakened ahead of Japan’s national election. Traders await U.S. jobs data, with expectations for potential Fed rate cuts.
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Gold rebounded on Friday, poised for a weekly gain driven by bargain hunting, a weaker dollar, and ongoing U.S.-Iran talks. Silver also recovered from a recent low, though both metals are showing signs of entering a commodity bust phase. CME Group raised margin requirements amid heightened volatility.
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Oil prices rose on Friday. Traders feared US-Iran talks failed to ease conflict risk. Brent crude futures settled at $68.05 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude finished at $63.55 a barrel. Tensions between the nations could disrupt oil flows. Kazakhstan’s oil exports may fall. Saudi Arabia cut crude prices for March.
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Bitcoin surged past $70,000, recovering from a 16-month low, buoyed by a tech stock and precious metals rebound. Despite a significant weekly dip and investor caution signaled by options markets, the digital currency showed resilience. This recovery follows a broader market rout, with the crypto space having lost substantial value since October.
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