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Retail investors, a key support for US equities during market dips, are showing signs of caution due to geopolitical tensions and volatility. For the first time since November 2023, individual investors briefly became net sellers of US stocks, indicating a potential weakening of their ‘buy the dip’ appetite. This shift, even with institutional buying subdued, could impact market stability.
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Crude oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions. This rise fuels global market jitters and inflation concerns, particularly for India, which imports most of its oil. Higher fuel costs are expected, impacting transportation and retail prices. Indian markets saw a temporary bounce, but experts advise caution amid ongoing global uncertainties.
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Federal Reserve officials are considering holding interest rates steady for longer. Persistent inflation and rising global tensions are key concerns. Clearer signs of falling prices are needed before any rate cuts. The US labor market shows stability, reducing immediate pressure for easing. Evolving market conditions suggest rates may stay higher for longer than anticipated.
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The Iran-Israel conflict has severely impacted Indian smallcaps, with 87% declining and 35% seeing double-digit losses. Experts advise caution, favoring largecaps for stability and recommending selective, gradual allocation to smallcaps on dips, focusing on companies with corrected valuations and clear earnings visibility.
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Eternal and Swiggy shares rose after platform fee hikes, despite HSBC cutting target prices due to rising competition in quick commerce. The brokerage maintained a Buy on Zomato but a Hold on Swiggy, warning that higher pricing—especially at Blinkit—could hurt market share.
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