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Middle Eastern heavy crude production cuts, triggered by the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, are sending U.S. Gulf Coast heavy grades soaring. Mars sour crude hit its highest premium to WTI since April 2020, with Asian buyers scrambling for alternatives. This surge, coupled with seasonal demand increases, is driving prices higher.
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America’s job market saw an unexpected decline in February. Nonfarm payrolls dropped, and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.4 percent. This development presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve. Factors like a healthcare worker strike and severe weather impacted job numbers. Economists are watching closely as rising oil prices and trade policy uncertainties add to market volatility.
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that more sanctions on Russian oil could be lifted, following a recent 30-day waiver that permits Russian crude stranded at sea to be sold to India. Bessent shared these remarks during an interview with Fox Business network.
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A week after a major disruption to global energy markets, oil prices remain below past crisis peaks but are rising fast as the conflict in the Gulf halts ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude has crossed $90 a barrel, gaining more than 25% this week.
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The Reserve Bank of India will purchase bonds worth one lakh crore rupees next week. This move aims to inject funds into the banking system. These purchases will help offset expected outflows from advance tax payments. Banking liquidity is currently robust. However, banks may be hesitant to sell government bonds due to low liquidity coverage ratios.
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