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US markets’ long-held exceptionalism is facing a reality check, according to Jim Walker. Trade tariff chaos is creating prolonged uncertainty, hindering investment and economic growth. He points to the dollar’s weakening confidence, mirrored by gold prices, and Big Tech’s ambitious capital plans facing insurmountable physical constraints like electricity and skilled labor shortages. Markets may soon confront these fundamental issues.
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Equity markets opened lower, with the Nifty falling over 1% below 25,500. Analysts anticipate strong support around 25,200, aligning with the 200-day moving average and a key retracement level. Despite Nifty’s weakness, Bank Nifty is outperforming, and stock-specific action is expected to continue.
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Indian IT stocks experienced a sharp decline on Tuesday. This selloff is driven by concerns over artificial intelligence disrupting the sector. Analysts are divided on whether to invest now or wait. Some believe the market is overreacting and valuations are becoming attractive.
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Japan’s ​Nikkei share average rose on Tuesday as trading resumed after a long holiday weekend, with AI-related stocks rallying ‌on expectation ⁠of ⁠further investment in AI infrastructure after a report of ​a possible Nvidia-OpenAI deal.
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Investors are advised to be selective with NBFCs. Valuations are high, and earnings growth premiums over banks are shrinking. Margin pressures are a key risk. Digital lending will transform the sector in the coming years. Larger, diversified NBFCs with strong liability advantages are better positioned for stable earnings growth.
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