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A top Federal Reserve official sees little impact on monetary policy from the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling, despite acknowledging new economic uncertainties. While potential cost relief could modestly aid growth, ongoing trade policy shifts and upcoming labor data will heavily influence interest rate decisions, keeping markets on edge.
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Indian government bonds are trading in a narrow band. Investors are cautious due to significant state borrowing plans. Softer U.S. Treasury yields are providing some stability. The market awaits the outcome of state debt auctions. A large federal government bond sale is also scheduled. Global factors like U.S. yields and crude prices are being closely watched.
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India’s equity market faces a holding pattern due to a prolonged earnings downgrade cycle, with valuations remaining elevated. While domestic inflows have buffered FII outflows, they’ve also delayed a necessary valuation reset. A turn in the earnings revision cycle, particularly with FY28 projections, is crucial for the market’s next upward move.
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Shares of IBM plunged 13.2% Monday, marking their steepest single-day drop in over 25 years, after AI startup Anthropic said its Claude Code tool can modernise COBOL, the legacy programming language running on IBM systems, raising concerns of AI-driven disruption in IT and cybersecurity stocks.
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Indian markets face uncertainty driven by US tariff concerns and geopolitical factors, leading to cautious sentiment. AI’s impact on IT services remains unclear, while digital lending platforms show potential for financial services. The auto sector exhibits mixed but positive momentum, with ferrous metals also showing promise.
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