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Indian gold prices have dropped to a discount for the first time in a month. High prices are discouraging buyers, despite jewellers offering concessions. Meanwhile, China is experiencing strong gold demand as the Lunar New Year approaches. This traditional holiday period usually boosts physical gold purchases in Asian markets. The People’s Bank of China continues its gold acquisitions.
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Despite a recent global AI-driven market shift, domestic equities are poised for recovery. Improved Indian macros, including interest rate and tax benefits, are creating a constructive outlook. Experts highlight the need for renewed earnings growth, with banking and consumer discretionary sectors expected to lead the charge. Valuations are seen as reasonable, with a focus on business momentum over minor corrections.
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Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) shares plummeted to a five-and-a-half-year low amid fears of AI-led disruption, with its market capitalization also hitting a multi-year trough. The IT rout intensified following a plunge in Infosys and Wipro ADRs, as a new AI tool for legal tasks sparked concerns about industry-wide vulnerability.
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The rupee’s six-month slide, driven by U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainty, reversed sharply after signals of a friendlier trade deal. While improved sentiment, sectoral gains, and potential foreign inflows offer support, unresolved agreement details, oil dynamics, gold prices, and RBI positioning ensure USD/INR remains volatile, with risks still tilted toward weakness in 2026.
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Indian government bond yields saw early declines reversed as traders took profits after a rally, awaiting new auction supply. The benchmark 10-year yield edged higher, hovering around 6.67%. This comes as the government manages debt ahead of significant maturities, while retail inflation returned to the central bank’s target band.
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