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S&P Global Ratings said it will avoid immediate sovereign downgrades despite the escalating Middle East conflict, but warned that higher oil and gas prices could strain vulnerable economies. Energy-import-dependent Asian countries and debt-laden South Asian nations may face added fiscal pressure if the geopolitical tensions and elevated energy prices persist.
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Despite the Middle East war and rising geopolitical tensions, gold prices have fallen, defying their safe-haven appeal. This counterintuitive trend is attributed to a broad risk-off sentiment, a strong US dollar, and profit-booking after earlier rallies. Experts suggest this is a short-term adjustment, with long-term fundamentals still supporting precious metals.
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India’s manufacturing sector faces temporary gas supply issues. Investor Aditya Shah sees this as an opportunity. He highlights a banking upgrade cycle and high summer power demand. Shah favors companies supporting increased power consumption. He also sees potential in banking stocks and microfinance. Shah’s insights offer a roadmap for navigating these market dynamics.
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The Indian rupee hit a new all-time low against the dollar on Friday, driven by concerns over sustained high oil prices and the ongoing Middle East conflict. Despite a significant decline since the Iran war began, the rupee has shown resilience compared to other emerging markets due to interventions by the Reserve Bank of India.
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The escalating Middle East conflict is heightening Japan’s inflation risks, potentially accelerating the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike timeline. Rising fuel prices, supply disruptions, and a tightening labor market are pushing inflation above the BOJ’s 2% target, prompting cautious policymaking while balancing economic growth and geopolitical uncertainties.
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