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The primary market anticipates a quiet week with only one new IPO, Leapfrog Engineering Services, opening for subscription. Three companies, Mehul Telecom, Citius Transnet InvIT, and Property Share Investment Trust, are scheduled to list after previous offerings. Investor sentiment appears cautious, reflected in zero grey market premiums for all upcoming listings, suggesting expectations of flat debuts.
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Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama attributed recent yen movements largely to speculative trading, following news of the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The dollar weakened against the yen as traders shifted from safe-haven assets. Authorities have expressed concerns over a weak yen’s impact on import costs and inflation, signaling readiness to intervene against sharp currency declines.
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Gold demand remains strong ahead of Akshaya Tritiya, with retail investors viewing bullion as a key wealth creation tool. Despite high prices, the festival drives demand, supported by gold’s safe-haven appeal amidst global uncertainties. Younger buyers are increasingly opting for lightweight jewellery and digital gold, while investment products like coins and bars are also gaining traction.
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Bitcoin’s climb past $75,000 faces skepticism from leveraged traders, evidenced by prolonged negative funding rates on futures. This divergence suggests a potential short squeeze if prices continue to rise, driven by ETF inflows and institutional buying. However, significant resistance and bearish bets on options markets remain.
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Gold prices are experiencing a cyclical reset, not a structural shift. This presents a strategic opportunity for Indian investors to buy gold. Akshaya Tritiya is an auspicious time to invest in gold ETFs, Digi Gold, or multi-asset funds. Central banks may resume gold buying. A 15-20% allocation to gold and silver is recommended for long-term investment amid global uncertainties.
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