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The US Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates amid rising uncertainty from the Iran conflict and mixed economic signals. Markets will closely track the Fed’s commentary for cues on rate cuts. Indian equities may react to global liquidity trends, crude oil movement and potential FII flows influenced by US policy signals.
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India’s equity markets face a critical juncture as crude oil prices approach $100 per barrel. Axis Securities advises investors to hold positions and selectively add quality stocks, warning that sustained high crude could lead to earnings cuts from Q1 FY27. The firm highlights the economy’s strong fundamentals but identifies crude oil as the primary near-term risk.
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Chinese companies are increasingly using foreign-exchange derivatives to hedge against a strengthening yuan, which threatens export earnings. Net outstanding forward settlement contracts reached a record $107 billion as the yuan appreciated significantly. This surge in hedging reflects a shift in currency dynamics, but increased dollar settlement positions expose companies to potential losses amid global uncertainty.
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Indian IT stocks are experiencing a significant correction, driven by fears of AI automation impacting outsourcing demand, amplified by Nvidia’s AI chip announcements. Analysts, however, see current valuations as reflecting pessimism, creating selective buying opportunities amidst evolving AI adoption and potential US economic headwinds.
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The Indian rupee opened at 92.42 against the US dollar on Wednesday. A plunge in global crude oil prices and positive opening at domestic equity markets prevented a sharper decline in the rupee.
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