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Foreign institutional investors have pulled out $18 billion from Indian equities since the Iran war began, dragging the Nifty down over 9% from its peak. Rising oil prices and capital flight have turned India from a preferred market into a cautious bet. Despite corrected valuations, global investors remain unconvinced, with weak dollar returns limiting fresh inflows.
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Asian stocks rose as the U.S. indicated ongoing dialogue with Iran for a deal, despite port blockades. Oil prices and the dollar declined as market sentiment favored diplomacy over supply disruption fears. Investors are trading on hope for an agreement, pushing equities higher for now.
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Analysts anticipate divergent March quarter earnings for banks, with private lenders projected to see nearly 12% net profit growth while public sector banks expect a modest 2% expansion. Margins may face pressure, though asset quality is expected to remain stable despite geopolitical uncertainties impacting business loans.
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Wall Street anticipates the Federal Reserve will adopt a gradual strategy for reducing its balance sheet expansion. The central bank began purchasing approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasuries monthly in December to alleviate funding market pressures. Officials suggest the pace of these purchases will be significantly reduced, moving cautiously to avoid missteps as the Fed aims for an end state.
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Life Insurance Corporation of India announced its first bonus share issue in a 1:1 ratio, doubling its paid-up equity base. This move aims to reward shareholders amid the stock’s underperformance since its 2022 public debut. The issuance, subject to approval, will capitalize reserves and is expected within two months.
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