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The US dollar strengthened globally on Friday, driven by Middle East conflict and investor flight to safety. Rising oil prices, fueled by geopolitical tensions, are impacting energy-importing economies like the Eurozone and Japan, while the US remains relatively insulated. Inflation concerns are also prompting expectations that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts.
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On Friday, Indian stock markets took a dramatic plunge, marking the worst single-day drop since the onset of the Gulf war. In the last fortnight, the markets shed a staggering 33.8 lakh crore in value.
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Gold prices are heading for a second weekly dip, influenced by a robust dollar and inflation concerns stemming from the Iran conflict. These factors are dampening hopes for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Despite gold’s traditional role as an inflation hedge, higher rates make holding it less attractive.
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Crude oil prices may surge to USD 120 per barrel soon. Extended conflict in West Asia could push prices to USD 150. Supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are causing significant losses. Emergency reserves offer limited relief. A de-escalation could lead to sharp price drops. Indian crude prices on MCX might climb 20-30 percent.
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European markets tumbled for a second week as Middle East tensions and inflation fears rattled investors. Industrial and mining stocks led the decline, with energy prices climbing amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts suggest the conflict’s impact on inflation and interest rates might be less severe than feared, but market sentiment remains cautious.
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