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Indian stock markets surged on Friday, with Sensex and Nifty climbing approximately 0.7%. This rise, adding over Rs 4 lakh crore to market capitalization, was fueled by optimism surrounding a potential Iran-US ceasefire and other positive developments. Both indices saw significant gains in early trading.
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The US dollar is experiencing its biggest weekly fall since January. Other currencies are strengthening as a Gulf ceasefire appears to be holding. Oil shipping is expected to resume. Markets are watching US-Iran talks in Islamabad for direction. The dollar had been a safe haven during the conflict. Now, as risks fade, investors are selling the dollar.
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Gold prices dipped slightly on Friday due to a stronger dollar, yet are poised for a third consecutive weekly gain. Renewed optimism for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire has eased inflation fears and expectations of further U.S. interest rate hikes, offering support to the precious metal despite lingering geopolitical risks.
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Banks have largely exited Indian rupee arbitrage trades, complying with the Reserve Bank of India’s $100 million net open position limit. These measures, aimed at curbing FX market volatility, were implemented by April 10. Market participants estimate around $40 billion in arbitrage positions have been unwound, with recent price action indicating the completion of these exits.
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