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Bank loans below 9% interest surged to 62.4% in December 2025, a significant rise from 42.4% a year prior, indicating easing lending rates. Despite this, the number of bank borrowers dropped by nearly 13 million, suggesting a shift towards non-bank lenders and fintech firms.
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The Reserve Bank of India has increased its intervention in the government securities market, purchasing bonds to counteract liquidity drained by foreign exchange market actions. This move aims to maintain transmission momentum and stabilize yields amidst geopolitical concerns. Bond buying, particularly in the 10-year benchmark, suggests the central bank may be capping upward yield movements.
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Rising crude oil prices are expected to significantly impact the March-quarter profits of oil marketing companies, compressing refining margins and widening LPG under-recoveries. While upstream companies like ONGC and Oil India stand to benefit from higher crude prices, gas utilities face pressure from surging LNG costs.
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Indian stocks experienced a significant rebound on Thursday, mirroring gains across Asian markets. This relief rally, driven by hopes of de-escalating geopolitical tensions and oversold technical conditions, saw the Nifty and Sensex close higher. While the market showed strength, analysts caution that this recovery might be temporary until clearer signals emerge.
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Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin said still high ​inflation and stronger recent jobs numbers may shift the Fed’s risk outlook at a time when the U.S. conflict with Iran could further ​push up key consumer prices.
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