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Oil prices surged Friday amid escalating Middle East tensions. Iran’s release of footage showing commandos boarding a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with reports of engaging hostile targets, has fueled fears of renewed conflict. Analysts warn that a breakdown in U.S.-Iran talks could send oil prices to new yearly highs, potentially impacting global inventories.
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The dollar is set for its first weekly rise in three weeks. Stalled peace talks between the U.S. and Iran are impacting Middle East tensions. Iran’s actions in the Strait of Hormuz add to uncertainty. Crude oil prices remain firm, supporting a stronger dollar. The yen is weakening against the dollar.
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Gold prices held firm Friday, yet are poised for a weekly decline. Soaring oil prices, fueled by stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks, are sparking inflation worries and the prospect of prolonged high interest rates. This energy shock is straining the global economy, impacting factory costs and weakening economic activity.
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Indian stock markets declined nearly 1% on Thursday, mirroring losses in Asian benchmarks as Brent oil prices surpassed $100, fueling cautious sentiment. Analysts anticipate range-bound trading until strong market triggers emerge, with the Nifty closing at 24,173.05 and Sensex at 77,664.
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HSBC has downgraded India to underweight, citing inflationary pressures from elevated oil prices and demand as key concerns. The brokerage anticipates a delay in India’s economic recovery, with potential earnings cuts expected to impact valuations despite recent market sell-offs. This downgrade reflects weakening relative attractiveness for Indian equities compared to regional peers.
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