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Debt investors are increasingly concerned about major tech companies taking on significant debt for AI development, leading to a surge in credit derivative trading. This market activity, particularly for single-company contracts on issuers like Meta and Alphabet, reflects a growing demand for protection against potential defaults as AI investments escalate.
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India’s largest stock exchange, NSE, faces a new hurdle in its decade-long IPO journey. A petition in Delhi High Court questions Sebi’s approval for the listing. The case centers on alleged violations of rules for adjusting derivative trades during corporate actions. This legal challenge could once again delay NSE’s much-awaited public debut. The court’s decision...
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Corporate revenues and profits surged in India during the December quarter, driven by GST reforms and strong performance in key sectors like automotive and financials. Analysts anticipate continued double-digit earnings growth in FY27, supported by favorable trade deals and improving business fundamentals, with a shift towards mid- and small-cap companies.
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The Bank of England faces a crucial week of economic data releases, including inflation and labor market figures, following a narrow decision to hold interest rates. Policymakers are divided on the path forward, with inflation remaining a key concern despite expectations of a fall. Incoming data will shape the debate on future monetary policy.
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Bond yields are diverging, with short-term rates falling due to liquidity while long-term rates rise, signaling the end of the current rate-cut cycle. Institutions are locking in long-term funds, anticipating future rate increases, as the market prices in a potential shift to higher rates.
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Emerging markets are poised for a long-term uptrend after years of underperformance, according to 13D Research & Strategy. While India may see temporary underperformance, China and Brazil are highlighted as key bets, alongside energy, gold, and silver. The firm expresses caution on the AI trade, citing potential malinvestment and unsustainable capital spending.
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Overseas fund managers have reduced bearish derivative bets on India, moving from near-lifetime lows as market pessimism eases. However, they remain cautious, retaining significant short positions due to ongoing AI trade uncertainties on Wall Street. This cautious approach is reflected in the fluctuating Long-Short Ratio of FPIs’ Nifty futures.
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Non-banking finance companies (NBFC) can now factor in DLGs when setting aside buffers for potential loan losses, provided the guarantee forms an integral part of the loan arrangement, the RBI said last week.
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Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) staged a sharp turnaround in early February, pumping Rs 19,675 crore into Indian equities in the first fortnight, supported by the US-India trade deal and easing global macro concerns.
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India’s recent trade agreements signal a strategic shift toward competitiveness-led global integration. By improving tariff parity and market access with major economies, India is strengthening export visibility, funding its current account deficit sustainably, and positioning itself as a key participant in global manufacturing and services supply chains.
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