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The Indian stock markets faced a downturn on Friday, ending January with a notable 3.1% decline—the sharpest drop seen in January since 2016. Analysts suggest that investors are holding back in anticipation of the upcoming budget. Still, there’s a silver lining on the horizon, with expectations of a gradual market recovery soon.
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As Budget 2026 approaches, analysts expect a low-impact event for equities amid muted expectations. With Nifty already down sharply in January, a non-event Budget may help stabilise sentiment rather than trigger volatility in a cautious, range-bound market.
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Oil prices held near six-month highs Friday, nudged by lingering U.S.-Iran tensions, though gains paused amid prospects of dialogue and a potential ceasefire. While U.S. sanctions were issued, a stronger dollar and rising crude output also pressured prices. Analysts anticipate prices to hover around $60 this year, balancing oversupply fears with geopolitical risks.
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The U.S. dollar strengthened on Friday. This followed the selection of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair. The currency recovered from an earlier sharp decline. Analysts suggest the short-term selloff was overdone. Warsh is seen as a safe choice, unlikely to aggressively lower interest rates. This news boosted the dollar’s performance.
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Defence stocks are showing resilience ahead of the Union Budget 2026, with many Nifty India Defence index constituents outperforming the broader market. Investors anticipate key announcements that could further boost the sector, with specific stock performance expected to hinge on Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s proposals.
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Indian stock markets NSE and BSE, along with MCX and NCDEX, will remain open on Sunday, February 1, for Budget 2026. Investors can trade during live sessions as the Finance Minister presents the Budget, enabling real-time market reaction amid cautious sentiment and muted expectations.
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Silver experienced a dramatic 25% plunge on MCX, falling from a record high of Rs 4 lakh to Rs 2.91 lakh per kg. This sharp reversal followed a strong rally, with a stronger US dollar, gold’s decline, and profit booking cited as key factors. Despite the correction, silver’s industrial demand and supply deficits suggest potential...
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Investors brace for a significant week as major companies like Alphabet and Amazon release earnings. A key US jobs report is also due. Following Microsoft’s earnings miss, market watchers are keen to see if other tech giants can meet high expectations. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will also be closely observed.
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Wall Street indexes closed lower Friday as investors reacted to President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve, viewing it as a hawkish choice. Concerns over inflation, potential government shutdown, and mixed earnings reports also weighed on the market. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw declines.
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